2015年5月24日日曜日

2015-05-24 Pragmatic Professor Uri Gneezy takes behavioral economic principles from the laboratory to industry


Uri Gneezy Interview
October 6, 2014, 9:30 am (JST)


Epstein/Atkinson Endowed Chair in Behavioral Economics, Professor of Economics & Strategy
Rady School of Management, UC San Diego

Professor Gneezy applies behavioral economics principles to solve real-world problems. He has studied the effects of incentive-based interventions to encourage good habits and reduce bad ones, Pay-What-You-Want pricing, and the detrimental consequences of small and large incentives. In addition to traditional laboratory and field studies, Dr. Gneezy works with companies, conducting behavioral economics-based experiments to achieve traditional performance goals in non-traditional ways. Before joining the Rady School, Gneezy was a faculty member at the University of Chicago, Technion and Haifa. Gneezy received his Ph.D. from the Center for Economic Research in Tilburg. His recent book  The Why Axis: Hidden Motives and the Undiscovered Economics of Everyday Life published by PublicAffairs in 2013 has received critical acclaim. 



1.   Your research spans several topics including when and how incentives work, deception, gender differences in competitiveness, and behavioral pricing. Can you give us an overview of this research and its major findings?

The theme that connects the different research topics is what motivates people. If you consider incentives, for example, we take a look at when incentives have a negative effect on people’s behavior, when they have a positive effect, and when they have no effect. In a large percentage of cases, incentives have no effect. Companies offer all kinds of incentives to people, but they do not change their behavior. Offering such incentives, companies spend a lot of money for nothing!

Moving to the topic of deception, we can think of what makes people lie. Incentives do not have to be money. Power can be an incentive. I am interested in how incentives affect the decision to lie. Many of us experience what I call lie aversion. We would prefer not to lie if we could reach the same, desired outcome without lying. Yet we find that many people lie. For this reason, I think that understanding the incentives driving this behavior is important.

Similarly, my research on gender all centers on the impact of incentives. I look specifically at how men’s and women’s reactions to incentives differ. In our research on competitive incentives, we learned that women respond less than men. Thus, even the gender studies we are conducting center to a large degree on incentives.


Follow-up question:  How did you initially become interested in the issue of incentives?

From a very young age, I have always wondered why people do what they do. What are their hidden behavioral motives? Even before starting to study economics, I was interested in understanding what motivates people. I simply found this topic interesting. Sometimes this interest becomes annoying:  When I go to the doctor, I will wonder what is motivating him to tell me to do something. I have become obsessed with the question of incentives, but I also find them fun.



2.   Vernon Smith used experiments to explore the formation of bubbles, and Daniel Kahneman to develop Prospect Theory. How does your research relate to that of these scholars, who brought the application of behavioral economics into the mainstream by winning the Nobel Prize?

Vernon Smith and Kahneman and Tversky are the fathers of the field. They started their research in the field when it was not popular. They were the pioneers. Vernon Smith concentrated primarily on auctions. He called experiments the wind tunnel. If you want to know how people will behave, you run these experiments. I do not typically run market or auction experiments of this type. But Vernon Smith set the rules that we are using in the field today. For example, he indicated that we cannot deceive people in our research even though deception is regularly used in psychology. We pay people for performing tasks. In other words, we are looking at the real choices made by people.

Kahneman and Tversky were both psychologists. As such, they brought a different perspective to economic problems. They did not come with a theory, then use a wind-tunnel type experiment to determine when or how it works. Their work was more about the psychology of decision making. Many of their findings are about the psychology of behavior. Some of the findings related to mistakes people make. They were trying to find a more descriptive theory of decision making under conditions of risk.

My work is different in the sense that it is based on the work of these three pioneers, among many others. In addition, I am looking at phenomena of importance in the real world. Most of my research these days is with companies. If a charity wants to raise more money, what are the behavioral or psychological elements that can be incorporated into the way the charity requests contributions to raise effectiveness? If a company wants more people to follow it on its website, what kind of incentives could be used? As mentioned, not all incentives are created equal. For this reason, if you understand the psychology of incentives, you can actually use them more effectively.

One major difference between what Smith, Kahneman, and Tversky did and what I do is that I work with the companies to understand the way they or their customers are behaving. Being closer to the real-world phenomenon in this way is not necessarily better, but this is the stage in which I believe we presently are in behavioral economics. Kahneman and Tversky devised the concept of framing and showed how it is important. In a lab experiment, we can easily show that framing a problem in one was as opposed to another causes people to think about it differently. In my research, I am trying to take this concept to companies, determining whether they can benefit by framing choices differently.



3.   How has the field of behavioral economics evolved since 2002, when Kahneman and Smith were awarded the Nobel Prize? Where do you think the field is heading in the next ten to twenty years? Who are the young scholars you feel will lead the field’s development?

To a great extent, we have left the lab. We have gone out into the field, where we are trying to test our hypotheses in a more natural environment. That is not to say that I do not use lab experiments. I am still doing them, but I use them as one tool. Going out into the real world is something important that we are doing. For example, one application we are looking at is in the area of development in Africa. I believe the area will be interesting.

In twenty years, I hope that behavioral economics will no longer be distinguished from “mainstream economics.” Behavioral economics is about people. If you talk to people other than economists, these people do not even seem to understand the need for behavioral economics as a distinct field. How could economics be non behavioral? Our being behavioral economists means that others are non-behavioral economists. Confusing, isn’t it?

In the future, I hope that textbooks will not have a separate chapter about behavioral economics. Rather, I hope that every chapter will feature the basic model rooted in the simplifying assumptions of economics, followed by (behavioral-based) explanations of what happens when these assumptions are not valid: “Here is what you expect when A,B, or C occurs because people’s behavior is more complex than suggested by the simplifying models economics uses.”

We do not currently have enough young people with creative ideas. We need more people in the behavioral economics field. There are a few good people in the field, but no superstars come to mind.



4.  Can you give us an overview of your recent best seller The Why Axis, summarizing the highlights?

I am happy my book is popular in Japan, too. The book looks at how people actually behave, trying to bring insight from models, theories, and experiments. We take these insights to the real world to test how they actually work. Behavioral economics is one topic, field experiments, the other. We are testing the theory, not simply making assumptions. The advantage of field experiments is that they permit understanding of the causality.

If you have a company change the price of a product they sell over the internet, you will observe the effect. You can really isolate the effect, noting that one group of people viewed a particular item at one price and another group at the other price. Using such data, you can construct the demand function. You can really test what happens when you make changes based on your behavioral theories. To be clear, the book is about behavior economics and field experiences: trying to both understand people’s behavior and test it rather than making assumptions about it.

We wrote the book because we wanted to take the message to companies about the importance of testing ideas rather than trusting their intuition about those ideas. When companies create incentives, the frequently rely on their intuition. These companies could benefit from field experiments. They could both become more efficient and save money, too.



5.  In addition to conducting academic research, you consult with companies to help them apply              behavioral economic principles in their businesses. Can you tell us about your consulting                    practices, citing some concrete examples of projects and the results they have produced?

We worked with a large insurance company that wanted employees to receive flu vaccinations and take other tests. As an incentive, the company gave employees $10 for each test, spending $100 million dollars on the program. We conducted a field experiment to assess this incentive. In one condition, we paid employees $10 per vaccination or other activity up to 5 activities. In another condition, we told them they had to complete five activities to receive a payment. Looking at the data, we realized that some of the money the company was spending was what we call “money for nothing.” Many of the employees would have received the vaccinations even if they had not been paid for doing so. Of course, these employees are happy to accept the money, but it is not the reason they are receiving the shots. In this case, we helped the company to achieve the same goals for only $50 million dollars, saving them half of what they had been spending.




6.  Earning your bachelors in Israel, then your Ph.D. at Tilburg University in the Netherlands, you 
     were educated entirely outside the United States. How does the training you received at the latter 
     differ from that offered by U.S institutions? What are the similarities?

Like many other life events, my studying for a Ph.D. in the Netherlands was a coincidence to answer your first question. I did my bachelors degree in Tel Aviv because I had grown up there. After graduating, I moved to the Netherlands with my wife, who had accepted a job there. We were not following some grand master plan we had carefully designed.

To answer your second question, studying in the Netherlands had a significant effect on my life. At American universities, there is one way and one voice about how to do research. Outside the U.S, in Europe, Asia, and other places, thought about economic problems is more pluralistic. I think the average quality of training in the United States is higher than in other places. European universities have fewer highly skilled researchers but the variance in perspective is good. Different ways of thinking are good. Scholars who have not been trained in traditional economic thinking can more easily be creative. I am fortunate not to have attended an American in university in this respect. If I had, I would have received more rigorous training, but would also have left a bit brainwashed. I would have more difficulty trying to do a different type of research.

After I completed my Ph.D., I returned to Israel, where I was a university faculty member for four years. I decided to develop my career in the United States for two reasons. First, in the area of economics, America is still the center of gravity. A scholar can more easily launch a career there than elsewhere though developing a career in Europe has also become easier. Hong Kong, Japan, Singapore and China, are developing, too, but the United States is still at the center. I came to America because I wanted to enter the Big League. The second motivation was purely economic. The salary in Israel was not adequate to enjoy the lifestyle I desired.